Author Archives: Espen

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About Espen

For details, see www.espen.com.

Atlantic wall tumbling down

The Atlantic is following the New York Times lead (or, rather, example) and tearing down its paywall so that even non-subscribers can access its articles and archives. This is yet another indication that in the media world, the choice is now between not-quite-penniless relevance and no-longer-so-profitable obscurity, and that the scale is tipping further and further over from the latter to the former.

The point, of course, is that The Atlantic now is linkable, debatable and taggable in this Next Generation Enterprise of ours. I will celebrate by linking to two classic Atlantic articles by Tracy Kidder: Flying Upside Down and The Ultimate Toy, both of them from The Soul of a New Machine (1981), still the best case study (and, come to think of it, introductory text book) on leading techies I have ever read.

Enjoy. And link.

(Via The New York Times and Undercurrent.) 

Building a market for digital movie rental

Seth Godin has a brief yet thoughtful take on the digital movie rental market.

Just about the first thing you learn in microeconomics is that over time, given competition, the price of a product will come close to its marginal cost. Understood by economists for hundreds of years, but not yet understood by the movie industry. Over time, their machinations will make as much sense as the British red flag laws (mandating a person walking in front of motorcars with a red flag) at the beginning of the 20th century. Until then, it seems the content industries will make the same mistakes – first the music industry, then movies and TV, then book publishing.

Frustrating, yet seemingly inevitable.

One of the things I used to wonder about was what would happen when the theory of disruptive innovation (see various articles by Clayton Christensen) became known. Would the effect disappear, like a Heisenbergian attempt at measurement, because managers now knew how it worked? After all, if you understand and recognize a pattern of development you can anticipate it and create a new business model. That is, if you are smart enough to read theory and willing to apply it to your industry rather than find excuses.

I think we see the answer in what is happening in the media industries – a truly disruptive innovation will ruin your business even if you know about it, because (as Weick phrases it) companies select and enact their environment. In other words, they choose what they want to see and discard anything that indicates a deviation of their prejudices. The death-spiral of the RIAA is but one example, with its desperate attempts to turn back time and preserve an anachronistic business model.

At least we now know that disruption is real, hard to prevent, and, for companies with no current stake in the business, a great opportunity, exploitable less for the novelty of the innovation than for the blinkers of the incumbents. Fun.

In and above the flow wikis

Andy McAfee has a good post on how to make people use wikis – use it as a tool to do their work (in-the-flow) rather than document it (above-the-flow).

I have used wikis in classrooms situation for a few years now, this is a call to move more of the activity over to the wiki and away from traditional papers and email. 

MacWorld keynote in Twitter time

You can "listen" in via Twitter at http://twitter.com/macrumors, which now has 10000 subscribers. Talk about creating an fan following.

I am hoping for a Tablet version of the MacBook Pro,  preferably a 15-inch twist screen. That would make me a Mac customer.

Update post keynote: Well, Twitter had som hiccups, but macrumorslive.com has a good summary. As rumored, a very thin subnotebook, but not tablet, tough it does seem to have some of the iPhone screen controls. We’ll see, I just might go for it. The thinness and lightness seems a big plus.

Proximity rules!

Google prediction trading and proximity. This graphic sure is interesting – read the article for explanations:

 

Wait a minute….I live in Norway, waaaaay out in the boonies – this explains a lot! 

Negroponte II

Ann Zelenka has a reflective review of Nick Carr’s new book The Big Switch over at GigaOM.

(The reference to Nick Negroponte is because of the term "switch" – back in the late 80s, Negroponte predicted that what was going through the air (TV) would go through cable, and what went through cable (telephone) would go through air, known as the "Negroponte switch".)

I, too, remain unconvinced that the move to net-centric computing will result in job losses overall. More people produce more content to be consumed by markets that previously did not consume at all or could only afford a little.

Have you sat down with your friends for a Youtube-based rock video night yet? I have. Would have cost a fortune just five years ago, now you can do with an old TV, a laptop with an S-video cable, and some $80 speakers.

The real car of the future

Tata shows a $2,500 car, the Nano. John Seely Brown once said that the most important effect for Western countries from globalization will be the innovation necessary to compete in markets of many individuals with little money – and how those markeds would spawn products that would then be exported to the West.

This will be a $10,000 car in Norway once you have added the 200% car import tax and transportation. Still, I would love one for driving myself and my lunch packet to work every day…..

Financials tools and innovation

Clayton Christensen and friends have an article out in HBR that I have been waiting for: Innovation Killers: How Financial Tools Destroy Your Capacity to Do New Things (behind paywall, unfortunately).

Vaughan on IT maturity

Vaughan MerlynMy esteemed colleague Vaughan Merlyn runs a BSG Concours Institute project called RLT (Reaching Level Three), based on a three-tiered model of IT-business demand-supply relations. Here is a well-written posting on IT demand and supply in capital markets.

I like this way of doing "open" research, with some of the debate taking place over the public Internet. Makes me feel less lonely here up in the chilly North… Plus, it might, over time, make the research more visible and thereby bring others into the debate.

Henry James taking a bow

David Lodge: Author, Author

I have seen this book described as "tepid", apparently because it does not contain scandals or a hard-hitting plot or whatever, but it is a study in indecisiveness – an author wanting to find money and fame as a playwright, but lacking the will both to shape his work to fit the format and a willingness to commit his best work to it. Many a scientist seeking money as a consultant will recognize the feeling, at least I do….

And it works – the "not quite documentary, not quite biograhy, not quite novel" format gives a great impression of the era moving from Dickens to Wilde, with Henry James wanting the latter’s fame using the tools of the former. Another fascination is the time scale of things, and the easy living – while worried about money and deadlines, James had money for servants, a secretary, and leisurely trips to Paris and Venice for weeks and months to write and contemplate. His meticulousness with language was such that a large expense was telegraph fees for last-minute corrections. One suspects he would have been a great blogger, with infrequent but meticulously crafted, long entries.

Recommended, as is anything by David Lodge.

Commentocracy in business class

‘Great idea from Jeff Jarvis – I would certainly contribute, given a half-decent interface and plenty of ff points. But I think his main point is: “What do my customers know and how do I help them share that?”, which, incidentally, is rather deep.

Hitchens/Sharpton on God (but not religion)

Fun discussion at the New York Public Library in May 2007: Christopher Hitchens vs. Al Sharpton on Atheism and God – The Full Debate. Great fun, though Sharpton – who actually is rather sharp – sidesteppes the issue a little. Most fun (and there are many to choose from) comment was Hitchens saying that the best defence for religion is that it "domesticates our need for ritual".

Anyway, 89 minutes of intelligent repartee for when what is on regular TV just is too hard to bear.

System from the mess

Everything is miscellaneous coverDavid Weinberger: Everything is miscellaneous.

(Somehow it seems fitting to link to the blog rather than the Amazon page here.)

Weinberger argues (and here, for once, I can say that I have been there as well) that with the Web and digital, searchable information, we can rely on categorization less. We can move everything into the category "miscellaneous" and establish order by search, metadata extraction, etc.

The book lays out a detailed and very well written argument. I my summary seems overly short, it is because many of the ideas were familiar to me – but Weinberger writes beautifully, yet tersely, and this will, no doubt, be a standard reference for years to come.

Highly recommended!

Continue reading

Internet imminent death significantly exaggerated

The Economist posts a silly prediction about how the Internet is facing gridlock. Marc Andreesen (now, there is an interesting feed for the old blogroll) skewers them with relish, and Techdirt applauds.

In short, life goes on. With bandwidth.

Why IT matters but is not discussed

David Robinson has a great perspective on why the “and technology” debate is so devoid of activity. The reason is that there is relatively general agreement on the outcome but disagreement on how to get there – and the latter discussion requires expertise.

Hence, technology policy issues are discussed by experts for experts. That may also explain why special interests have so much influence with the lawmakers and so little with everyone else.

Goodreads is pretty good

My old colleague and fellow bookworm Nick Morgan invited med to Goodreads, a book community. This is a dangerously addictive site, I could envision moving my entire book collection into it. Slanted towards bestsellers and classics, but hey, that’s what the world looks like…

 

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A really cool tool

For some reason, I have always liked this passage from Neal Stephenson’s Cryptonomicon:

Now, when Bobby Shaftoe had gone through high school, he’d been slotted into a vocational track and ended up taking a lot of shop classes.  A certain amount of time was therefore, naturally, devoted to sawing large pieces of wood or metal in to smaller pieces.  Numerous saws were available in the shop for that purpose, some better than others.  A sawing job that would be just ridiculously hard and lengthy using a hand saw could be accomplished with a power saw.  Likewise, certain cuts and materials would cause the smaller power saws to overheat or seize up altogether and therefore called for larger power saws.  But even with the biggest power saw in the shop, Bobby Shaftoe always got the sense that he was  imposing some kind of stress on the machine.  It would slow down when the blade contacted the material, it would vibrate, it would heat up, and if you pushed the material through too fast it would threaten to jam.  But then one summer he worked in a mill where they had a bandsaw.  The bandsaw, its supply or blades, its spare parts, maintenance supplies, special tools and manuals occupied a whole room.  It was the only tool he had ever seen with infrastructure.  It was the size of a car.  The two wheels that drove the blade were giant eight-spoked things with that looked to have been salvaged from steam locomotives.  its blades had to be manufactured from long rolls of blade-stuff by unreeling about half a  mile of toothed ribbon, cutting it off, and carefully welding the cut ends together into a loop.  When you hit the power switch, nothing would happen for a little while except that a subsonic vibration would slowly rise up out of the earth, as if a freight train were approaching from far away, and finally the blade would begin to move, building speed slowly but inexorably until the teeth disappeared and it became a bolt of pure hellish energy stretched taut between the table and the machinery above it.  Anecdotes about accidents involving the bandsaw were told in hushed voices and not usually commingled with other industrial-accident anecdotes.  Anyway, the most noteworthy thing about the bandsaw was that you could cut anything with it and not only did it do the job quickly and coolly but id didn’t seem to notice that it was doing anything.  It wasn’t even aware that a human being was sliding a great big chunk of stuff through it. It never slowed down.  Never heated up.

This is what constitutes a really cool tool….Stephenson followed this up in his comparison of various kinds of computer systems in In the beginning…was the command line, a similar snippet of philosophy of the tools we use and the tools we are in awe of.

Spamstopping

Bruce Schneier found this post about CAPTCHA implementations, which led me to this post on bot detection.

Unsurprisingly, there is no one solution – and it matters not as much what you do as how well you do it. 

(Yeah, I know – marginally relevant. Just teaching The Machine here.) 

Wikipedia as seen by Foxtrot

For several years now, I have had my students write for Wikipedia as an assignment, then reflect on their experiences. Some of them write pretty impressive entries (such as this one) as a result. One of them included this cartoon by Foxtrot in his reflections, which I found rather funny:

File:Foxtrot wikipedia.png